Journalartikel
Autorenliste: Finck, David; Rudel, Paul
Jahr der Veröffentlichung: 2023
Seiten: 1559-1597
Zeitschrift: Empirical Economics
Bandnummer: 64
Heftnummer: 4
ISSN: 0377-7332
eISSN: 1435-8921
Open Access Status: Hybrid
DOI Link: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-022-02291-9
Verlag: Springer
Abstract:
They do. Partly. We identify credit supply shocks via sign restrictions in a Bayesian VAR and separate them into positive and negative. Using local projections, we find that positive credit supply shocks leave notably different prints in private debt, mortgage debt, and debt-to-GDP, as opposed to negative credit supply shocks. This pattern is caused by the response of household mortgage debt. Furthermore, we find evidence that positive credit supply shocks are the driving force behind boom-bust cycles. Yet, developments behind the boom-bust cycle cannot explain the strong and persistent response in debt; but house prices tend to. However, if we abstract from potential asymmetries, we get rather mild results, which underestimate the true effects of credit supply shocks.
Zitierstile
Harvard-Zitierstil: Finck, D. and Rudel, P. (2023) Do credit supply shocks have asymmetric effects?, Empirical Economics, 64(4), pp. 1559-1597. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-022-02291-9
APA-Zitierstil: Finck, D., & Rudel, P. (2023). Do credit supply shocks have asymmetric effects?. Empirical Economics. 64(4), 1559-1597. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-022-02291-9
