Journal article

Authors list: Finck, David; Rudel, Paul

Publication year: 2023

Pages: 1559-1597

Journal: Empirical Economics

Volume number: 64

Issue number: 4

ISSN: 0377-7332

eISSN: 1435-8921

Open access status: Hybrid

DOI Link: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-022-02291-9

Publisher: Springer

Abstract: 
They do. Partly. We identify credit supply shocks via sign restrictions in a Bayesian VAR and separate them into positive and negative. Using local projections, we find that positive credit supply shocks leave notably different prints in private debt, mortgage debt, and debt-to-GDP, as opposed to negative credit supply shocks. This pattern is caused by the response of household mortgage debt. Furthermore, we find evidence that positive credit supply shocks are the driving force behind boom-bust cycles. Yet, developments behind the boom-bust cycle cannot explain the strong and persistent response in debt; but house prices tend to. However, if we abstract from potential asymmetries, we get rather mild results, which underestimate the true effects of credit supply shocks.

Harvard Citation style: Finck, D. and Rudel, P. (2023) Do credit supply shocks have asymmetric effects?, Empirical Economics, 64(4), pp. 1559-1597. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-022-02291-9

APA Citation style: Finck, D., & Rudel, P. (2023). Do credit supply shocks have asymmetric effects?. Empirical Economics. 64(4), 1559-1597. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-022-02291-9