Journal article

Authors list: Bannier, CE; Heinemann, F

Publication year: 2005

Pages: 374-391

Journal: Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics

Volume number: 161

Issue number: 3

ISSN: 0932-4569

eISSN: 1614-0559

DOI Link: https://doi.org/10.1628/093245605774259336

Publisher: Mohr Siebeck

Abstract: 
This paper reconsiders a central bank's problem of determining rules for information dissemination and risk-taking behavior that minimize the probability of currency crises. In a global-games approach, we find that optimal transparency is adversely related to prior market beliefs. In countries with pessimistic prior beliefs about economic performance, the central bank should commit to disclosing information with maximal precision. In addition, it should increase the risk of economic performance. For good prior expectations, posterior information should be of lower precision, depending on the variance of fundamentals. Here, the central bank can reduce the crisis probability by reducing that variance.

Harvard Citation style: Bannier, C. and Heinemann, F. (2005) Optimal Transparency and Risk-Taking to Avoid Currency Crises, Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, 161(3), pp. 374-391. https://doi.org/10.1628/093245605774259336

APA Citation style: Bannier, C., & Heinemann, F. (2005). Optimal Transparency and Risk-Taking to Avoid Currency Crises. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics. 161(3), 374-391. https://doi.org/10.1628/093245605774259336